Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.983988 1.103604 1.233708 1.385997 1.559706 1.752062 1.981733
2026-02-08 0.776752 0.930655 1.110881 1.338542 1.619894 1.958047 2.398013
2026-02-15 0.645658 0.815158 1.025701 1.308612 1.682101 2.162836 2.835787
2026-02-22 0.577588 0.762418 1.003886 1.346216 1.825120 2.480327 3.460247
2026-03-01 0.516802 0.708292 0.969405 1.357002 1.927200 2.750240 4.055850
2026-03-08 0.456349 0.645601 0.913210 1.326410 1.961306 2.921668 4.526634
2026-03-15 0.407121 0.592323 0.862779 1.295349 1.986605 3.077750 4.990899
2026-03-22 0.387596 0.579924 0.870014 1.350809 2.150483 3.469329 5.899971
2026-03-29 0.366549 0.562499 0.866853 1.387998 2.287353 3.832327 6.816434
2026-04-05 0.346207 0.543793 0.859111 1.415626 2.409744 4.184485 7.769038
2026-04-12 0.322875 0.517819 0.836574 1.414754 2.480513 4.451426 8.600225
2026-04-19 0.298599 0.487958 0.804460 1.393004 2.509471 4.642305 9.307754
2026-04-26 0.269170 0.447887 0.753004 1.334242 2.468201 4.704698 9.786735
2026-05-03 0.245719 0.416269 0.713658 1.294031 2.458719 4.831339 10.436584
2026-05-10 0.226764 0.390947 0.683218 1.267330 2.472746 5.008769 11.238959
2026-05-17 0.218448 0.384000 0.685566 1.304502 2.622583 5.498788 12.887784
2026-05-24 0.207447 0.371089 0.675421 1.315286 2.717594 5.882016 14.355642
2026-05-31 0.192676 0.349832 0.647326 1.285896 2.720435 6.053303 15.308018
2026-06-07 0.179243 0.330055 0.620376 1.255956 2.718011 6.211445 16.259874
2026-06-14 0.175877 0.329564 0.631667 1.309548 2.916048 6.893312 18.859542
2026-06-21 0.170840 0.325307 0.634851 1.345473 3.076968 7.508897 21.423380
2026-06-28 0.165225 0.319405 0.634038 1.372156 3.218865 8.099224 24.066815
2026-07-05 0.157541 0.308637 0.621972 1.371316 3.290923 8.511691 26.243338